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Red150
98162.8
519989.9
651970.0
Blue230
508982.3
567775.4
96872.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1982210400600800150230

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5199
#20
89.94.1
76.172.0
Auto12.3
Teleop48.0
End29.5
red by 7.6
5089
#14
82.31.9
67.769.6
Auto8.2
Teleop43.5
End30.7
Second
6519
#21
70.05.2
49.844.6
Auto6.2
Teleop27.6
End36.2
blue by 5.5
5677
#16
75.41.5
71.072.5
Auto6.8
Teleop29.4
End39.2
Third
981
#40
62.83.8
65.561.7
Auto10.2
Teleop26.5
End26.1
blue by 9.1
968
#36
72.01.5
68.369.8
Auto6.1
Teleop39.0
End26.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsMissed