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Red205
606069.7
420191.2
113871.1
Blue207
301193.5
69163.7
263794.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1852370100300400205207

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4201
#33
91.21.8
71.573.3
Auto11.7
Teleop37.6
End41.8
blue by 2.8
2637
#15
94.00.7
94.593.7
Auto9.8
Teleop46.4
End37.8
Second
1138
#29
71.11.5
60.361.8
Auto7.0
Teleop38.0
End26.2
blue by 22.3
93.51.1
78.177.0
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End39.1
Third
6060
#30
69.72.5
50.953.4
Auto9.6
Teleop36.1
End24.1
red by 6.0
691
#22
63.70.9
45.544.6
Auto10.2
Teleop41.0
End12.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed