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Red328
98870.7
5458107.7
1678148.9
Blue255
508982.3
545387.8
396564.1
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3382310100300400500600700800328255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.91.4
141.3142.7
Auto25.8
Teleop62.5
End60.5
red by 61.1
5453
#37
87.81.4
90.892.2
Auto14.6
Teleop43.5
End29.6
Second
107.71.4
100.8102.2
Auto7.3
Teleop44.7
End55.7
red by 25.3
5089
#14
82.31.4
77.178.5
Auto8.2
Teleop43.5
End30.7
Third
988
#38
70.72.3
65.267.5
Auto11.8
Teleop38.9
End20.0
red by 6.6
3965
#26
64.11.4
66.267.6
Auto6.6
Teleop36.0
End21.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
7%Pressure oddsEarned0%Pressure oddsMissed