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Red266
84299.9
396564.1
69163.7
Blue345
301193.5
649106.7
248576.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2252800100200400500266345

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#19
99.91.0
95.696.6
Auto14.3
Teleop43.3
End42.3
blue by 6.8
649
#7
106.75.7
97.7103.4
Auto11.4
Teleop51.8
End43.5
Second
3965
#26
64.11.0
63.164.1
Auto6.6
Teleop36.0
End21.4
blue by 29.4
93.55.7
88.494.1
Auto15.6
Teleop38.8
End39.1
Third
691
#22
63.71.0
62.763.7
Auto10.2
Teleop41.0
End12.5
blue by 12.4
2485
#39
76.15.7
72.878.6
Auto10.5
Teleop39.4
End26.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsEarned
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed