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Red508
96872.0
118150.7
148121.7
Blue456
84299.9
649106.7
519989.9
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions381300100200500600700508456

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118
#1
150.71.0
150.5151.5
Auto32.2
Teleop66.1
End52.4
red by 44.0
649
#7
106.71.4
105.7107.1
Auto11.4
Teleop51.8
End43.5
Second
148
#3
121.71.0
121.5122.5
Auto20.8
Teleop54.0
End47.0
red by 21.8
842
#19
99.91.4
98.9100.2
Auto14.3
Teleop43.3
End42.3
Third
968
#36
72.01.0
71.872.7
Auto6.1
Teleop39.0
End26.9
blue by 18.0
5199
#20
89.91.4
88.990.2
Auto12.3
Teleop48.0
End29.5