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Red180
3875107.7
495674.9
5114103.8
Blue205
525695.0
3357110.2
544859.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3062740100200400500600700800180205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3875
#12
107.70.0
107.7107.7
Auto12.8
Teleop49.8
End45.1
blue by 2.4
110.20.0
110.2110.2
Auto23.3
Teleop48.4
End38.5
Second
103.80.0
103.8103.8
Auto10.3
Teleop53.4
End40.1
red by 8.8
95.00.0
95.095.0
Auto10.2
Teleop49.1
End35.7
Third
74.90.0
74.974.9
Auto11.1
Teleop41.2
End22.6
red by 15.3
5448
#10
59.60.0
59.659.6
Auto6.9
Teleop29.9
End22.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
53%Rotor odds5%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds