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Red165
999956.6
594374.8
33398.2
Blue310
286985.0
405587.4
412288.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23628004006008001,0001,2001,400165310

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#9
98.20.0
98.298.2
Auto11.3
Teleop43.4
End43.5
red by 9.9
4122
#14
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.8
Teleop35.5
End42.0
Second
74.80.0
74.874.8
Auto4.4
Teleop35.9
End34.5
blue by 12.6
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto5.7
Teleop35.2
End46.4
Third
9999
#15
56.60.0
56.656.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.6
End23.7
blue by 28.4
85.00.0
85.085.0
Auto4.5
Teleop42.6
End37.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds2%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds