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Red315
512355.4
694110.9
4122B44.2
Blue165
999956.6
80633.3
405587.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2281800100300400500600700315165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
694
#1
110.90.0
110.9110.9
Auto12.9
Teleop59.5
End38.5
red by 23.5
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto5.7
Teleop35.2
End46.4
Second
5123
#13
55.40.0
55.455.4
Auto4.0
Teleop33.9
End17.5
blue by 1.2
9999
#15
56.60.0
56.656.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.6
End23.7
Third
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End21.0
red by 10.8
806
#8
33.30.0
33.333.3
Auto2.2
Teleop27.4
End3.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
8%Rotor odds0%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds