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Red180
694110.9
3419117.2
529822.9
Blue215
405587.4
412288.3
457190.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions279277180200220240260300320340180215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#12
117.20.0
117.2117.2
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
red by 27.0
90.20.0
90.290.2
Auto9.1
Teleop38.0
End43.1
Second
694
#1
110.90.0
110.9110.9
Auto12.9
Teleop59.5
End38.5
red by 22.5
4122
#14
88.30.0
88.388.3
Auto10.8
Teleop35.5
End42.0
Third
5298
#11
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End-1.5
blue by 64.5
87.40.0
87.487.4
Auto5.7
Teleop35.2
End46.4