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Red206
694110.9
3419117.2
529822.9
Blue190
4122B44.2
999956.6
659060.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29415104006008001,0001,200206190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3419
#12
117.20.0
117.2117.2
Auto12.6
Teleop54.9
End49.7
red by 56.6
6590
#10
60.60.0
60.660.6
Auto10.3
Teleop26.8
End23.5
Second
694
#1
110.90.0
110.9110.9
Auto12.9
Teleop59.5
End38.5
red by 54.3
9999
#15
56.60.0
56.656.6
Auto6.3
Teleop26.6
End23.7
Third
5298
#11
22.90.0
22.922.9
Auto3.7
Teleop20.7
End-1.5
blue by 21.3
44.20.0
44.244.2
Auto5.4
Teleop17.8
End21.0