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Red185
35878.7
35260.4
642374.4
Blue165
180343.4
53382.2
501697.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions179176100150200250185165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
358
#46
78.72.1
73.375.4
Auto7.8
Teleop48.7
End22.2
blue by 19.1
5016
#25
97.73.6
73.770.0
Auto11.6
Teleop43.9
End42.2
Second
6423
#18
74.430.9
74.443.5
Auto7.9
Teleop32.5
End34.0
blue by 7.9
533
#26
82.23.6
71.467.8
Auto12.8
Teleop34.6
End34.8
Third
352
#41
60.43.6
39.743.2
Auto4.4
Teleop34.9
End21.1
red by 17.0
1803
#54
43.45.0
39.734.7
Auto4.0
Teleop24.9
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed