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Red170
674655.6
501697.7
216149.5
Blue195
234753.2
509969.0
287259.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121400100300400170195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5016
#25
97.73.1
94.090.9
Auto11.6
Teleop43.9
End42.2
red by 28.7
5099
#20
69.05.5
58.363.7
Auto8.0
Teleop27.0
End34.0
Second
6746
#48
55.64.8
52.948.1
Auto6.9
Teleop30.3
End18.4
blue by 3.7
2872
#47
59.33.5
50.954.4
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End25.9
Third
2161
#50
49.54.8
44.839.9
Auto5.5
Teleop29.6
End14.4
blue by 3.7
2347
#42
53.25.5
33.238.7
Auto6.3
Teleop26.2
End20.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed