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Red256
287259.3
60182.5
115699.3
Blue311
313777.6
642374.4
870115.8
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions249275100200300400256311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1156
#12
99.30.7
98.699.3
Auto13.3
Teleop40.1
End45.9
blue by 16.5
870
#9
115.82.9
113.7116.5
Auto15.7
Teleop50.2
End49.9
Second
601
#35
82.50.9
83.384.2
Auto10.8
Teleop34.8
End37.0
red by 4.9
3137
#43
77.63.8
73.877.6
Auto6.1
Teleop35.7
End35.9
Third
2872
#47
59.30.7
58.659.3
Auto5.3
Teleop28.1
End25.9
blue by 15.1
6423
#18
74.43.8
70.674.4
Auto7.9
Teleop32.5
End34.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed