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Red200
238390.6
33533.1
452862.0
Blue175
429931.6
641567.2
640230.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2121170300400200175

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#17
90.60.3
87.987.6
Auto10.7
Teleop47.4
End32.6
red by 23.5
6415
#16
67.23.2
68.271.5
Auto6.9
Teleop31.4
End28.8
Second
62.00.4
66.766.3
Auto7.4
Teleop39.5
End15.2
red by 30.4
4299
#37
31.63.5
28.131.6
Auto2.6
Teleop22.8
End6.1
Third
335
#13
33.10.4
34.434.1
Auto3.0
Teleop24.2
End5.9
red by 2.5
6402
#43
30.73.2
27.430.7
Auto7.0
Teleop24.0
End-0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed