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Red296
589177.1
4613118.4
3419106.0
Blue445
238390.6
2791108.6
188090.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3342920100200400500600700800296445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.40.6
118.6118.0
Auto22.7
Teleop47.5
End48.2
red by 9.8
108.61.4
106.1107.5
Auto12.2
Teleop50.7
End45.7
Second
106.00.6
106.2105.7
Auto10.9
Teleop53.3
End41.7
red by 15.3
2383
#17
90.61.4
88.289.6
Auto10.7
Teleop47.4
End32.6
Third
5891
#29
77.10.7
77.476.7
Auto5.1
Teleop29.3
End42.7
blue by 13.1
1880
#28
90.21.4
87.889.2
Auto9.3
Teleop40.2
End40.7