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Quarterfinal 3-22017 Finger Lakes Regional
Red323
379988.1
19190.5
3015107.3
Blue255
300373.7
559072.4
17472.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2942160100400500323255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3015
#5
107.31.5
101.4→102.9
Auto14.4
Teleop46.0
End46.9
red by 33.6
3003
#13
73.71.2
72.5→73.7
Auto8.1
Teleop33.9
End31.7
Second
191
#2
90.51.5
84.6→86.1
Auto11.3
Teleop34.2
End45.1
red by 17.9
174
#22
72.61.2
71.5→72.6
Auto6.0
Teleop33.0
End33.6
Third
3799
#28
88.11.6
81.7→83.3
Auto9.2
Teleop37.4
End41.5
red by 15.7
5590
#8
72.41.2
71.3→72.4
Auto8.3
Teleop35.3
End28.8