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Red140
222871.8
315779.6
398838.1
Blue195
525483.4
649077.0
239969.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15920050100250300350140195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3157
#24
79.61.8
46.244.4
Auto8.6
Teleop34.5
End36.5
blue by 3.7
5254
#29
83.41.2
79.881.0
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End37.1
Second
2228
#40
71.81.8
60.158.3
Auto5.7
Teleop37.3
End28.9
blue by 5.2
77.01.2
40.942.1
Auto5.5
Teleop39.7
End31.9
Third
3988
#23
38.11.8
50.248.3
Auto6.2
Teleop18.0
End13.9
blue by 30.9
69.01.2
63.464.6
Auto6.2
Teleop33.7
End29.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed