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Red256
541872.7
69564.4
1507118.5
Blue267
112679.2
28786.2
395166.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions199193100150250300256267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
118.57.5
85.092.6
Auto12.8
Teleop44.6
End61.0
red by 32.2
287
#16
86.26.5
64.771.2
Auto5.4
Teleop36.7
End44.0
Second
5418
#25
72.77.5
50.758.2
Auto9.0
Teleop20.6
End43.1
blue by 6.5
79.26.5
60.266.7
Auto6.7
Teleop30.3
End42.3
Third
695
#33
64.47.5
52.560.0
Auto9.3
Teleop31.9
End23.1
blue by 1.6
66.06.5
58.665.1
Auto9.3
Teleop37.0
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed