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Red185
87096.8
317354.7
402354.7
Blue238
3015107.3
17472.6
158542.7
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1652150100300400185238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
870
#12
96.80.5
75.775.2
Auto12.9
Teleop41.7
End42.2
blue by 10.5
107.34.5
89.293.8
Auto14.4
Teleop46.0
End46.9
Second
3173
#31
54.70.5
45.044.5
Auto9.4
Teleop27.2
End18.1
blue by 17.9
174
#22
72.64.5
57.361.8
Auto6.0
Teleop33.0
End33.6
Third
4023
#46
54.70.5
43.543.1
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End17.5
red by 12.1
1585
#36
42.74.5
50.755.2
Auto1.9
Teleop31.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed