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Red200
234073.4
300373.7
28786.2
Blue166
315779.6
525483.4
158542.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions197194120140160180220240260200166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
287
#16
86.21.9
71.273.1
Auto5.4
Teleop36.7
End44.0
red by 2.9
5254
#29
83.43.1
81.077.9
Auto8.4
Teleop37.9
End37.1
Second
3003
#13
73.71.9
61.663.5
Auto8.1
Teleop33.9
End31.7
blue by 5.9
3157
#24
79.63.1
52.549.4
Auto8.6
Teleop34.5
End36.5
Third
2340
#21
73.41.9
50.152.0
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End32.8
red by 30.7
1585
#36
42.73.1
55.252.1
Auto1.9
Teleop31.0
End9.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed