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Red186
559072.4
493064.4
63964.3
Blue95
145050.5
29652.8
402354.7
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18414905010025030035040018695

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
72.41.8
39.040.8
Auto8.3
Teleop35.3
End28.8
red by 17.7
4023
#46
54.76.0
46.140.2
Auto7.4
Teleop29.9
End17.5
Second
4930
#26
64.41.8
66.568.3
Auto6.1
Teleop30.4
End27.9
red by 11.6
296
#43DQ
52.86.0
62.056.0
Auto8.0
Teleop29.3
End15.5
Third
639
#27
64.31.8
64.266.0
Auto8.3
Teleop33.6
End22.4
red by 13.8
1450
#39
50.56.0
40.734.7
Auto4.4
Teleop34.1
End12.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed