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Red95
580655.6
239969.0
176537.8
Blue255
234073.4
155997.7
159167.8
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions168232010020030040095255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
69.08.1
72.264.1
Auto6.2
Teleop33.7
End29.1
blue by 28.7
1559
#18
97.72.9
94.797.7
Auto9.0
Teleop46.6
End42.0
Second
5806
#37
55.68.1
50.142.0
Auto10.5
Teleop31.5
End13.6
blue by 17.7
2340
#21
73.44.9
48.353.2
Auto8.3
Teleop32.2
End32.8
Third
1765
#49
37.88.1
45.637.5
Auto3.3
Teleop19.8
End14.7
blue by 30.0
1591
#42
67.84.9
67.872.7
Auto4.9
Teleop35.8
End27.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed