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Red194
263847.1
398838.1
383878.4
Blue180
318159.4
319343.2
300373.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2031740100300400194180

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3838
#17
78.42.1
75.673.5
Auto11.0
Teleop32.2
End35.1
red by 4.7
3003
#13
73.71.2
59.961.1
Auto8.1
Teleop33.9
End31.7
Second
2638
#44
47.12.1
60.057.8
Auto9.0
Teleop35.0
End3.1
blue by 12.3
3181
#35
59.41.2
57.859.0
Auto3.7
Teleop31.6
End24.0
Third
3988
#23
38.12.1
52.750.6
Auto6.2
Teleop18.0
End13.9
blue by 5.2
3193
#45
43.21.2
51.452.6
Auto4.2
Teleop34.9
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed