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Red195
151879.5
29652.8
69564.4
Blue205
222871.8
53371.4
151170.4
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17221150100150250300350400195205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1518
#20
79.52.7
59.562.1
Auto5.9
Teleop42.2
End31.4
red by 7.7
2228
#40
71.81.1
69.270.3
Auto5.7
Teleop37.3
End28.9
Second
695
#33
64.42.7
55.558.2
Auto9.3
Teleop31.9
End23.1
blue by 7.1
533
#10
71.41.1
64.365.4
Auto13.8
Teleop31.2
End26.4
Third
296
#43
52.82.7
56.058.7
Auto8.0
Teleop29.3
End15.5
blue by 17.6
1511
#47
70.41.1
61.662.7
Auto9.7
Teleop40.0
End20.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed