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Semifinal 1-12017 Finger Lakes Regional
Red256
27168.7
1507118.5
34099.7
Blue248
87096.8
503079.1
151170.4
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions321243100200400500600256248

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1507
#1
118.51.0
120.9→119.9
Auto12.8
Teleop44.6
End61.0
red by 21.7
870
#12
96.80.2
95.1→95.3
Auto12.9
Teleop41.7
End42.2
Second
340
#11
99.71.0
102.2→101.1
Auto12.1
Teleop52.9
End34.7
red by 20.6
5030
#4
79.10.2
77.6→77.7
Auto7.7
Teleop32.9
End38.5
Third
271
#38
68.71.0
71.1→70.1
Auto6.0
Teleop29.0
End33.6
blue by 1.7
1511
#47
70.40.2
68.9→69.0
Auto9.7
Teleop40.0
End20.8