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Red205
340111.3
5406B56.4
5406112.8
Blue235
222110.3
1241123.3
1285113.1
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36048402006008001,0001,2001,400205235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
112.80.0
112.8112.8
Auto22.9
Teleop51.5
End38.5
blue by 10.5
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto14.5
Teleop57.6
End51.2
Second
340
#1
111.30.0
111.3111.3
Auto9.1
Teleop58.6
End43.5
blue by 1.9
1285
#27
113.10.0
113.1113.1
Auto11.6
Teleop58.9
End42.6
Third
56.40.0
56.456.4
Auto11.4
Teleop25.7
End19.2
blue by 53.9
222
#26
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0