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Red171
279191.9
395166.0
222110.3
Blue263
560687.5
379984.5
1241123.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27731602004006008001,0001,2001,4001,600171263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#26
110.30.0
110.3110.3
Auto11.2
Teleop56.0
End43.0
blue by 13.1
123.30.0
123.3123.3
Auto14.5
Teleop57.6
End51.2
Second
2791
#13
91.90.0
91.991.9
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
red by 4.3
5606
#28
87.50.0
87.587.5
Auto9.6
Teleop35.6
End42.3
Third
3951
#41
66.00.0
66.066.0
Auto9.3
Teleop37.0
End19.7
blue by 18.5
3799
#16
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
25%Rotor odds14%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds