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Red160
379984.5
503090.3
19191.4
Blue190
222889.1
1507119.6
340B55.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions281278160200220240260300320160190

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#14
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.1
Teleop33.4
End46.9
blue by 28.2
119.60.0
119.6119.6
Auto14.7
Teleop47.8
End57.1
Second
5030
#37
90.30.0
90.390.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
red by 1.2
2228
#29
89.10.0
89.189.1
Auto7.6
Teleop38.4
End43.1
Third
3799
#16
84.50.0
84.584.5
Auto8.2
Teleop45.6
End30.7
red by 28.9
340B
#17
55.60.0
55.655.6
Auto4.6
Teleop29.3
End21.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds4%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds