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Red305
63983.2
260180.8
36992.9
Blue296
303112.5
115595.8
412274.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2503060100200400500305296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
369
#36
92.91.6
88.690.3
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
blue by 19.6
303
#9
112.50.5
112.6112.1
Auto16.7
Teleop54.7
End41.1
Second
639
#15
83.21.3
79.781.1
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
blue by 12.6
95.80.6
96.095.4
Auto9.5
Teleop41.6
End44.7
Third
2601
#10
80.81.6
76.678.2
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4
red by 6.8
4122
#20
74.00.6
74.273.6
Auto4.9
Teleop29.7
End39.3