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Red235
160065.9
115595.8
303112.5
Blue305
138270.8
188074.9
226592.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions296235100200400500235305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#9
112.50.8
111.2110.4
Auto16.7
Teleop54.7
End41.1
red by 20.5
2265
#16
92.02.0
89.991.9
Auto11.5
Teleop40.8
End39.6
Second
95.81.0
94.393.3
Auto9.5
Teleop41.6
End44.7
red by 20.9
74.92.0
72.874.8
Auto10.5
Teleop29.8
End34.5
Third
1600
#17
65.91.0
67.065.9
Auto4.9
Teleop34.8
End26.2
blue by 4.8
1382
#12
70.82.0
68.770.7
Auto8.4
Teleop28.6
End33.8