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Red262
664839.7
179697.2
341985.0
Blue165
36992.9
640162.5
287229.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2141270100300400262165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1796
#13
97.27.3
86.794.0
Auto11.6
Teleop59.2
End26.5
red by 4.4
369
#36
92.93.6
63.166.7
Auto10.3
Teleop44.9
End37.7
Second
85.07.3
79.686.9
Auto5.1
Teleop46.3
End33.5
red by 22.4
6401
#21
62.53.6
51.855.5
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End25.5
Third
6648
#28
39.77.3
25.032.3
Auto2.4
Teleop23.8
End13.5
red by 10.6
2872
#46
29.13.6
17.421.0
Auto2.4
Teleop21.0
End5.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed