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Red260
39543.2
304453.8
20117.9
Blue385
664839.7
260180.8
602488.2
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2291770100200300400260385

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#4
117.92.9
116.3119.3
Auto16.0
Teleop54.8
End47.1
red by 29.7
6024
#14
88.21.0
84.083.0
Auto10.8
Teleop37.4
End40.0
Second
3044
#40
53.82.9
44.747.7
Auto8.8
Teleop35.7
End9.3
blue by 27.0
2601
#10
80.81.7
51.149.4
Auto6.5
Teleop37.0
End37.4
Third
395
#41
43.24.4
49.353.7
Auto8.1
Teleop18.4
End16.8
red by 3.6
6648
#28
39.71.4
39.738.2
Auto2.4
Teleop23.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
1%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed