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Red175
160065.9
640162.5
63983.2
Blue216
303112.5
660151.9
163553.3
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2232440100300400500600175216

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
639
#15
83.24.6
88.283.6
Auto9.6
Teleop40.4
End33.2
blue by 29.3
303
#9
112.50.9
115.6114.7
Auto16.7
Teleop54.7
End41.1
Second
1600
#17
65.97.7
63.756.0
Auto4.9
Teleop34.8
End26.2
red by 12.6
53.31.5
54.452.9
Auto3.6
Teleop33.3
End16.5
Third
6401
#21
62.57.7
62.754.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.4
End25.5
red by 10.6
6601
#38
51.91.5
59.457.9
Auto8.3
Teleop19.8
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed