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Red240
160065.9
25097.1
595562.7
Blue90
664839.7
192366.5
331472.1
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions205188010030040050024090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#1
97.12.8
83.286.0
Auto8.9
Teleop45.4
End42.7
red by 25.0
3314
#24
72.16.1
78.372.2
Auto15.1
Teleop35.4
End21.6
Second
1600
#17
65.94.4
56.060.3
Auto4.9
Teleop34.8
End26.2
blue by 0.6
66.56.1
56.950.8
Auto7.0
Teleop35.1
End24.5
Third
5955
#35
62.74.4
53.758.1
Auto8.9
Teleop46.3
End7.5
red by 23.0
6648
#28
39.79.4
45.836.3
Auto2.4
Teleop23.8
End13.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed