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Red260
595274.1
33393.9
279192.9
Blue255
362495.3
4508101.1
445871.8
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652880100200400500600260255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
333
#6
93.90.0
91.991.9
Auto11.7
Teleop34.8
End47.4
blue by 7.1
101.10.3
101.8101.4
Auto10.1
Teleop46.4
End44.6
Second
2791
#16
92.90.0
90.990.9
Auto12.2
Teleop46.4
End34.3
blue by 2.5
95.30.4
96.195.7
Auto11.7
Teleop40.9
End42.7
Third
5952
#27
74.10.0
72.172.1
Auto4.4
Teleop44.5
End25.2
red by 2.4
4458
#33
71.80.3
72.472.1
Auto9.3
Teleop37.6
End24.9