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Red150
558561.7
22988.2
646373.8
Blue146
408325.5
311784.5
149376.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions153132050100200250300150146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#7
88.20.9
64.865.7
Auto11.1
Teleop47.1
End30.0
red by 3.7
3117
#14
84.52.0
47.649.6
Auto8.8
Teleop40.2
End35.4
Second
6463
#23
73.80.9
35.536.4
Auto9.6
Teleop37.5
End26.7
blue by 2.4
1493
#13
76.22.0
56.258.2
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End27.7
Third
5585
#19
61.70.9
41.842.7
Auto7.9
Teleop25.9
End28.0
red by 36.3
4083
#34
25.51.3
24.225.5
Auto5.9
Teleop19.2
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed