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Red210
355073.6
588185.9
524041.5
Blue166
25063.9
662140.4
304444.7
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions144193050100250300350210166

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5881
#18
85.97.4
60.067.3
Auto12.2
Teleop41.2
End32.6
red by 22.1
250
#31
63.91.2
65.264.0
Auto6.7
Teleop40.1
End17.1
Second
3550
#25
73.67.4
39.246.6
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End32.7
red by 28.9
3044
#20
44.71.2
62.060.8
Auto7.1
Teleop23.7
End14.0
Third
5240
#32
41.57.4
44.652.0
Auto8.1
Teleop23.0
End10.4
red by 1.1
6621
#36
40.41.2
49.448.2
Auto7.2
Teleop29.0
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed