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Red185
279192.9
398672.0
311784.5
Blue240
645962.8
523662.2
602484.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22620604006008001,000185240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#16
92.93.0
82.479.4
Auto12.2
Teleop46.4
End34.3
red by 8.9
6024
#11
84.04.1
86.790.7
Auto10.0
Teleop33.8
End40.2
Second
3117
#14
84.53.0
65.162.1
Auto8.8
Teleop40.2
End35.4
red by 21.6
6459
#26
62.84.1
52.056.1
Auto8.3
Teleop27.5
End27.0
Third
3986
#24
72.03.0
64.461.4
Auto4.5
Teleop28.7
End38.7
red by 9.8
62.24.1
59.763.8
Auto6.3
Teleop40.1
End15.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed1%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed