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Red255
445871.8
279192.9
22988.2
Blue338
311784.5
195122.4
355073.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions248263150200300350400450255338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2791
#16
92.91.5
82.984.4
Auto12.2
Teleop46.4
End34.3
blue by 29.5
195
#1
122.46.0
123.2129.2
Auto25.9
Teleop59.2
End37.3
Second
229
#7
88.21.8
90.191.9
Auto11.1
Teleop47.1
End30.0
red by 3.7
3117
#14
84.58.0
71.679.6
Auto8.8
Teleop40.2
End35.4
Third
4458
#33
71.81.5
64.966.4
Auto9.3
Teleop37.6
End24.9
blue by 1.8
3550
#25
73.68.0
53.061.0
Auto5.3
Teleop35.6
End32.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed1%Pressure oddsEarned