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Red279
645962.8
195122.4
20116.3
Blue395
279192.9
33393.9
595274.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions348256100200300400500279395

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
195
#1
122.41.0
127.1126.2
Auto25.9
Teleop59.2
End37.3
red by 28.5
333
#6
93.90.9
92.393.1
Auto11.7
Teleop34.8
End47.4
Second
20
#2
116.31.1
121.6120.5
Auto11.3
Teleop51.2
End53.8
red by 23.4
2791
#16
92.90.9
91.292.1
Auto12.2
Teleop46.4
End34.3
Third
6459
#26
62.81.1
68.167.0
Auto8.3
Teleop27.5
End27.0
blue by 11.3
5952
#27
74.10.9
72.473.3
Auto4.4
Teleop44.5
End25.2