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Red255
445871.8
4508101.1
362495.3
Blue205
523662.2
514979.8
304444.7
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3041780100400500255205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
101.10.4
102.1101.8
Auto10.1
Teleop46.4
End44.6
red by 21.3
79.80.4
79.479.8
Auto8.8
Teleop30.4
End40.6
Second
95.30.4
96.596.1
Auto11.7
Teleop40.9
End42.7
red by 33.1
62.20.4
61.862.2
Auto6.3
Teleop40.1
End15.8
Third
4458
#33
71.80.4
72.872.4
Auto9.3
Teleop37.6
End24.9
red by 27.1
3044
#20
44.70.5
44.244.7
Auto7.1
Teleop23.7
End14.0