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Red265
151791.4
503090.3
71682.3
Blue275
4508101.5
14576.1
594374.8
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812650100200400500600265275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1517
#21
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.0
Teleop36.2
End44.1
blue by 10.2
4508
#10
101.50.0
101.5101.5
Auto12.1
Teleop45.5
End43.9
Second
90.30.0
90.390.3
Auto10.6
Teleop37.6
End42.1
red by 14.3
145
#6
76.10.0
76.176.1
Auto7.8
Teleop38.9
End29.4
Third
716
#12
82.30.0
82.382.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
red by 7.5
5943
#18
74.80.0
74.874.8
Auto4.4
Teleop35.9
End34.5