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Red275
648453.4
149376.2
20111.9
Blue313
588185.9
279191.9
1880105.6
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2483160100200400500600700800275313

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20
#7
111.90.0
111.9111.9
Auto15.1
Teleop53.6
End43.2
red by 6.4
1880
#17
105.60.0
105.6105.6
Auto12.1
Teleop43.3
End50.2
Second
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End27.7
blue by 15.7
91.90.0
91.991.9
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
Third
6484
#22
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto3.6
Teleop27.4
End22.4
blue by 32.6
5881
#15
85.90.0
85.985.9
Auto12.2
Teleop41.2
End32.6