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Red250
304468.8
71682.3
149376.2
Blue165
20111.9
648453.4
151791.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2342760100400500600700800250165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
716
#12
82.30.0
82.382.3
Auto13.8
Teleop36.0
End32.5
blue by 29.6
20
#7
111.90.0
111.9111.9
Auto15.1
Teleop53.6
End43.2
Second
76.20.0
76.276.2
Auto6.6
Teleop41.9
End27.7
blue by 15.2
1517
#21
91.40.0
91.491.4
Auto11.0
Teleop36.2
End44.1
Third
3044
#23
68.80.0
68.868.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.7
End20.1
red by 15.4
6484
#22
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto3.6
Teleop27.4
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
1%Rotor odds3%Rotor odds
Pressure
1%Pressure odds1%Pressure odds