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Red257
26392.1
279191.9
648453.4
Blue210
250112.6
1880105.6
588185.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2373330100200400500600700800257210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#19
92.10.0
92.192.1
Auto4.8
Teleop44.9
End42.4
blue by 20.6
250
#14
112.60.0
112.6112.6
Auto8.0
Teleop52.8
End51.8
Second
91.90.0
91.991.9
Auto12.5
Teleop49.9
End29.5
blue by 13.7
1880
#17
105.60.0
105.6105.6
Auto12.1
Teleop43.3
End50.2
Third
6484
#22
53.40.0
53.453.4
Auto3.6
Teleop27.4
End22.4
blue by 32.6
5881
#15
85.90.0
85.985.9
Auto12.2
Teleop41.2
End32.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
4%Rotor odds11%Rotor odds
Pressure
0%Pressure odds0%Pressure odds