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Red313
15682.9
3015121.8
340111.5
Blue305
379101.6
4028111.5
239983.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340306100200400500600700313305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
121.80.1
121.8121.7
Auto22.8
Teleop45.4
End53.6
red by 10.3
111.50.2
111.0111.2
Auto16.0
Teleop49.0
End46.5
Second
340
#7
111.50.1
111.5111.5
Auto13.6
Teleop57.9
End40.0
red by 9.9
379
#6
101.60.2
101.1101.3
Auto13.3
Teleop42.9
End45.4
Third
156
#29
82.90.1
83.082.9
Auto6.2
Teleop34.2
End42.5
blue by 0.4
2399
#36
83.30.2
82.883.1
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End37.8