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Red215
260346.3
493078.7
578101.9
Blue205
15682.9
359169.8
319361.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221204100150250300215205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
578
#11
101.90.5
97.698.0
Auto15.2
Teleop46.9
End39.8
red by 19.0
156
#29
82.90.6
78.479.0
Auto6.2
Teleop34.2
End42.5
Second
4930
#10
78.70.5
70.170.5
Auto7.9
Teleop35.9
End34.9
red by 8.9
3591
#44
69.81.0
67.168.0
Auto8.2
Teleop42.8
End18.8
Third
2603
#55
46.30.5
40.541.0
Auto9.0
Teleop26.5
End10.7
blue by 15.4
3193
#12
61.70.7
50.951.6
Auto7.1
Teleop41.7
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed