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Red281
319361.7
222889.1
1507119.6
Blue257
3015121.8
239983.3
541885.5
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289285220240260300320340360281257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
119.61.1
127.5126.5
Auto14.7
Teleop47.8
End57.1
blue by 2.1
121.81.1
108.3107.2
Auto22.8
Teleop45.4
End53.6
Second
2228
#16
89.11.1
86.385.2
Auto7.6
Teleop38.4
End43.1
red by 3.6
5418
#28
85.51.1
83.482.4
Auto7.6
Teleop22.2
End55.6
Third
3193
#12
61.71.1
58.257.1
Auto7.1
Teleop41.7
End12.8
blue by 21.6
2399
#36
83.31.1
81.480.3
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End37.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed