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Red140
507735.4
239983.3
201082.9
Blue110
217269.2
411947.0
12067.2
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208209150250300140110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2399
#36
83.34.2
80.376.2
Auto7.6
Teleop37.9
End37.8
red by 14.1
2172
#24
69.25.6
71.265.7
Auto5.9
Teleop36.1
End27.2
Second
2010
#42
82.94.2
82.978.7
Auto9.0
Teleop37.3
End36.6
red by 15.6
120
#51
67.25.6
71.265.7
Auto5.4
Teleop30.8
End31.0
Third
5077
#43
35.47.0
39.732.7
Auto3.8
Teleop24.8
End6.9
blue by 11.5
4119
#56
47.09.3
51.241.9
Auto8.8
Teleop26.5
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed