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Red250
319361.7
124856.3
17494.7
Blue195
408588.9
67745.2
12067.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122200100300400500250195

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
174
#8
94.73.2
89.092.1
Auto9.9
Teleop38.7
End46.1
red by 5.9
4085
#17
88.90.9
93.292.3
Auto15.0
Teleop33.9
End39.9
Second
3193
#12
61.73.2
62.065.2
Auto7.1
Teleop41.7
End12.8
blue by 5.6
120
#51
67.20.9
68.167.2
Auto5.4
Teleop30.8
End31.0
Third
1248
#33
56.34.6
51.856.3
Auto8.7
Teleop33.3
End14.3
red by 11.1
677
#59
45.21.2
46.545.2
Auto3.4
Teleop32.0
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Rotor
0%Rotor oddsMissed0%Rotor oddsMissed
Pressure
0%Pressure oddsMissed0%Pressure oddsMissed